JUP Token Price Prediction 2025: Will Jupiter Experience a Major Breakout?

2025-02-19, 12:50

Recent developments and ecological progress of Jupiter

According to the market data of Gate.io, JUP The token is currently priced at $0.71, with a 2.5% decrease in the past 24 hours. The current circulation of JUP is $1.87 billion, ranking 50th in the global market. Previously, Jupiter announced the launch of the full-chain network Jupnet, the launch of the new platform website jup.com, and the acquisition of a majority stake in Moonshot. In addition, Jupiter’s co-founder also announced in January that 50% of the platform’s revenue would be used to repurchase JUP and 30% of unlocked JUP tokens would be burned.

Looking back on 2022, the FTX closure event dealt a heavy blow to Solana, causing a significant loss of funds and projects in its eco, SOL price From the historical high, it fell all the way to below $10. However, in 2023 Solana Strong rebound, outperforming many mainstream public chain assets, especially the DeFi project Jupiter, with a trading volume in December 2023 exceeding ten times that of January, and launching the largest JUP token airdrop in history.

By the end of January 2024, the JUP token airdrop officially started, attracting unprecedented market attention, with the number of active addresses on Solana exceeding 1 million for the first time. The high attention to JUP is due to Jupiter’s ability to leverage Solana’s high speed, low cost advantages, and continuously innovate the future potential of DeFi projects.

As of this writing, the JUP token buyback program has been launched, and Jupiter promises to use 50% of the protocol fee to buy back JUP and lock it for three years; In addition, Jupiter said that the plan will remain transparent, and the relevant data dashboard is expected to go live next week for community oversight.

The Jupiter eco is actively deploying:

  • In April 2024, acquire Ultimate Wallet, launch Jupiter Mobile, enter the mobile market, and create an independent trading gateway.
  • In September 2024, acquire SolanaFM to enhance on-chain data analysis capabilities, provide transparent transaction tracking, and simplify on-chain visualization services.
  • In September 2024, acquired Coinhall, integrated market data analysis tools, enhanced Price Trend and trading volume analysis capabilities to optimize the user’s trading experience.
  • In January 2025, the acquisition of Sonarwatch strengthened the portfolio tracking function, supported multi-chain asset monitoring, and complemented Jupiter’s full-chain network (Jupnet) strategy.
  • In January 2025, acquire a majority stake in Moonshot to strengthen control over liquidity sources, consolidate the market position of Meme coins, and expand fiat currency deposit channels.

These strategic layouts of Jupiter indicate that the project is moving towards a broader ecological development direction, and is expected to continue to attract a lot of attention and achieve long-term growth in the future. On-chain analysis platform Nansen data shows that since September 2024, the number of whale addresses holding more than 1 million JUP has increased by 27%, while the JUP reserves within the exchange have decreased to 11% of the circulation (the lowest level in history). At the same time, the staking rate of JUP has jumped from 35% to 52%, indicating that investors’ confidence in long-term value has strengthened.

2025 JUP Price Prediction: Technical and Fundamental Resonance

Technical Analysis: Signal of Breaking Key Resistance Level

From the weekly chart perspective, JUP is currently in the right side of a double bottom formation, consolidating in the $0.45-0.48 range with strong support. The MACD indicator shows bullish divergence below the zero axis, while the RSI has risen to 45, indicating exhaustion of bearish momentum. If the price breaks above $1.13 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level), it may initiate a new uptrend targeting $1.8 (historical high in 2024).

Fundamental driving factors

  • Solana’s eco is booming: Solana’s Firedancer client will be fully launched in 2025, with an expected network throughput increase to 1 million transactions per second and a 90% reduction in Gas fees. As the traffic entrance to the Solana eco, Jupiter’s transaction volume and user base will also explode synchronously.
  • Re-uation of Cross-chain Narrative Value: If Jupiter successfully integrates multi-chain liquidity, its valuation logic will shift from a single eco aggregator to a full-chain trading infrastructure. With reference to the valuation level of 1inch (cross-chain version market value of 4 billion USD), JUP’s market value ceiling is expected to exceed 5 billion USD (current market value 1.87 billion).
  • Deflationary model reinforcement: By 2025, the inflation rate of JUP will decrease to 3.8%, combined with the staking lock-up mechanism, the actual circulation may decrease by more than 40%, forming a supply-demand imbalance to drive price increase.

Price Prediction Model

  • Conservative scenario: Assuming that the Total Value Locked (TVL) of the Solana eco reaches $120 billion in 2025 (currently around $82 billion), and Jupiter maintains 70% of the DEX aggregator market share, the market cap of JUP could reach $3.5 billion, corresponding to a JUP price of $1.4.
  • Optimistic scenario: If the cross-chain progress exceeds expectations, and the JUP staking rate breaks through 70%, the market value is expected to challenge 8 billion US dollars (compared to Uniswap 50% valuation of JUP, corresponding price is 2.8-3 US dollars.
  • Extreme bull market scenario: In the context of Solana leading multi-chain transactions and JUP becoming the mainstream DeFi governance Token, the price may briefly touch $5 (similar to 2021 SUSHI peak of speculation).

Risks and Challenges: Unignorable Variables

Encirclement by competitors

  • Uniswap V4’s Hook mechanism allows developers to customize liquidity pool logic, potentially diverting the long-tail asset trading demand of Jupiter.
  • 1inch The Fusion mode now supports Solana chain transactions, posing a threat to Jupiter with its multi-chain user base.

Regulatory uncertainty

  • The U.S. SEC has recently increased its scrutiny on DEX. If JUP is deemed as an unregistered security, it may trigger a short-term selling wave;
  • EU regulations require DEX to implement KYC verification, or increase Jupiter’s compliance costs.

Technical Risk

  • The stability of the Solana network remains a key variable. If there is a large-scale outage or security vulnerability, it will directly impact the JUP price.

Future Outlook: JUP Layout Timing and Strategic Suggestions

Jupiter has demonstrated the potential to become the “DeFi blue chip” of the Solana eco with its technological iterations, ecological positioning, and optimized token economic model. At the current price (approximately $0.71), JUP is still undervalued, especially considering that its cross-chain narrative has not been fully reflected in the market price.

Investor Strategy Recommendation:

  • Long-term layout: Buy in batches in the range of $0.45-0.6, and hold until the end of 2025;
  • Event-driven: focus on the progress of JUP buyback and burning;
  • Risk hedging: Allocate no more than 15% of the crypto portfolio and set $0.38 as the stop loss line.

If the Jupiter team can continue to deliver on the roadmap, the explosion of the JUP token in 2025 will not only be a jump in price numbers, but also a reshaping of the value logic of the DeFi aggregator track.


作者:Icing,Gate.io研究员
*本文仅代表作者观点,不构成任何交易建议。投资有风险,用户需谨慎决策。
*本文内容为原创,版权为Gate.io所有,如需转载请注明作者和出处,否则将追究法律责任。
Share
gate logo
Gate
Trade Now
Join Gate to Win Rewards